Fire AggroTier 2
at 8號卡牌屋店冠賽
decks
1
(2.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
8
4-2-2
overall winrate
62.5%
ELO-adjusted winrate
45.3%
avg ELO -2.3 per match
expected value
47.6%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
41.3%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1416
· median 1416
· range 1416–1416
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1068
Q1 1243
Q3 1417
1542
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 40.0% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 35.2% | -14.2 |
| Fire Suzaku | 10.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.2% | +3.5 |
| Water Allies | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 5.0% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 49.2% | -0.6 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 5.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.3% | +11.7 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Byakko | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 2.5% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.1% | -3.1 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Horse and Taxes | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Aggro decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
